Do you think Obama is losing his young voters?

Katherine - posted on 04/20/2012 ( 20 moms have responded )

65,420

232

5195

President Obama could be in big trouble when it comes to the youth vote, according to a new poll.



Less than half of 18-to-24-year-old voters want Obama to win reelection, and he leads a generic Republican candidate by just 7 percentage points, according to a survey of youth voter attitudes released Thursday by the Public Religion Research Institute and Georgetown University's Berkley Center for Religion, Peace and World Affairs.



That single-digit lead represents a dramatic drop from 2008, when Obama won the votes of that age group by a 34-point margin over John McCain -- 66 percent to 32 percent -- according to exit polls.



The survey didn't test Obama specifically against Mitt Romney, his Republican opponent -- it was conducted in March, when the GOP primary was in a more active phase. But the weakness for Obama, whose 2008 run was powered in part by a wave of youthful enthusiasm, is stark.



Obama may take comfort in the fact that he remains dramatically better liked by young voters than Romney. The poll found 52 percent of 18-to-24-year-olds having a favorable opinion of Obama, while 43 percent viewed him unfavorably; for Romney, it was just 32 percent favorable, 53 percent unfavorable. That could give Obama a bigger advantage with young voters versus Romney than his small lead against the nonexistent "generic Republican."



Obama also enjoys an edge in enthusiasm. Among his young supporters, 72 percent said they would be excited to vote for him, while just 54 percent of Romney's young supporters voiced similar excitement.



The youth vote isn't huge -- voters under 24 made up just 10 percent of the 2008 electorate. But results like these are the latest sign of the difficulty Obama may have as he tries to rekindle the magic of four years ago.



The new survey is based on online interviews with a Knowledge Networks KnowledgePanel of 2,013 adults and carries a margin of error of 3.3 percentage points. Though online polls aren't generally trustworthy, knowledgeable pollsters tell me this one is, in fact, reliable.



http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/arch...



On Friday April 6 the government announced that the unemployment rate had edged down to 8.2% from 8.3%, its lowest rate in three years. Although the percentage of unemployed workers keeps inching downward, a good thing in and of itself, the reality is that more than 12.9 million individuals still don’t have a job.



This pool of unemployed contains a statistical subset that I find quite alarming: According to the Department of Labor and the Wall Street Journal, more than 4.8 million young people with a college degree (or some college experience) are unemployed. And, according to Time Magazine, 54% of all Americans between the ages of 18 to 24 are unemployed.



Unfortunately, this trend of unemployed youth is not unique to America. Today’s distressed global economy is having an international impact on recent college graduates looking to enter the workforce for the first time. In Spain, more than half of all young people are out of work. In Greece, youth unemployment also exceeds 50%. In Italy, a college degree, without connections or helpful relatives, is no guarantee that a full-time job will be available, even if one possesses an advanced degree in law or business. And, recently, many commentators have pointed out that the phenomenon of the “Arab Spring” was, in part, sparked by young people’s rage and anger over the lack of job opportunities.



Lack of work, lack of prospects and lack of overall progress in the global economy is making the youth of the world angry and anxious. And, the reality is, when unemployment persists, people become desperate and despondent, perhaps even dangerous to themselves and others.



In America, work has always been seen as a promise, a sacred contract, a passport to the achievement of a good life. As a people, we have long believed that if you worked hard and played by the rules you would be rewarded. But when we cannot offer the youth of America and the world the promise of work, then, I think, we are all in danger, both politically and economically.



On Friday April 6 the government announced that the unemployment rate had edged down to 8.2% from 8.3%, its lowest rate in three years. Although the percentage of unemployed workers keeps inching downward, a good thing in and of itself, the reality is that more than 12.9 million individuals still don’t have a job.



This pool of unemployed contains a statistical subset that I find quite alarming: According to the Department of Labor and the Wall Street Journal, more than 4.8 million young people with a college degree (or some college experience) are unemployed. And, according to Time Magazine, 54% of all Americans between the ages of 18 to 24 are unemployed.

.

MOST HELPFUL POSTS

JL - posted on 04/20/2012

3,635

48

107

I am a social activist. I go to rallies, protests, and marches all the time. The social activist groups and events I take part in are filled with massive amounts of young voters and this editorial is leaving out a very significant part of why the numbers of young voters will be low during the upcoming election. It's because there is a Massive NO VOTE movement going on and it is being conducted through social networking. I get the memos, event invites and pledges for the NO VOTE movement sent to me all the time. It is gaining major traction over the web with long lists of young people signing them and declaring their independence from the two party system. Large numbers of young people are signing these pledges and making pacts to not vote this upcoming election because they feel like the Democrats and the Republicans are basically the same party ....owned, operated and controlled by the 1%. Unless Obama makes a move to cut ties with Wallstreet completely and prosecute the banksters they are not voting. Unless Obama sends someone like Berny Sanders out to campaign for him with the youth the youth are not going to get out and vote in large enthusiastic numbers. Some will vote but they will vote for the Green Party and the Justice Party if those candidates are on their state ticket.

Lisa - posted on 04/22/2012

304

0

15

I think it's normal for young voters to lose excitement quick because idealism trumps reality when you are young. You think everything can be accomplished just by trying, and forget that change takes sacrifice along with time.

Isobel - posted on 04/21/2012

9,849

0

286

If I were American I would start a third party and just run on removing corporations from the government...how you'd get money to pay for your campaign? I hear Colbert's SuperPac's got a little cash in it ;)

Isobel - posted on 04/21/2012

9,849

0

286

I haven't read anything yet, but I hardly see them voting for Mitt Romney either ;P

20 Comments

View replies by

[deleted account]

what i would LOVE would be for not a single person to put in their vote for anyone, and see how the government deals with that. deadlocked, bitches...

JL - posted on 04/21/2012

3,635

48

107

BTW the young voters involved in the NO VOTE campaign wouldn't ever vote for Romney. They see him as being far worse than Obama. The only Republican some of them were considering possibly voting for was Ron Paul. They seem Romney as the perfect puppet for the 1% puppet. They see him as being a joke. When I talk to young voters...under 30...they are far more in the progressive side of the column and they want a more globalized mind set, an end to wars, universal health care, an end to the fed, legalization of mary jane, an end to the drug war, Monsato out, educational system that is more reflective of the Finish model, student loan debt forgiveness, affordable college rates, job growth and so on.

The NO VOTE movement scares the activist in my age group...over 30..because we fear that it will lead to Romney in office as an offset and a regression in foreign affairs. It scares the shit out of my husband who is currently on his 5th deployment for the Army. He is done with the warhawk bullshit and Romney sounds like the typical warhawk. But this is an OP about young voters......not Romney or Obama policies.

Janice - posted on 04/21/2012

1,890

18

63

Who is considered young? :)



That is good to hear, Sherri! About the sleeping not the voting.



I'm a bit scared of JL's post about the NO VOTE movement. It is great in theory and I agree the two party system is horrendously corrupt. However, even if all those under 30 don't vote you still have all of those over 30 voting and really then their voice is not heard.



We need an overhaul of government but as long as those in the 1% continue to convince the middle class that anyone asking for change is just a lazy, entitled ass then nothing will change.

Janice - posted on 04/21/2012

1,890

18

63

OOOHH! Sorry Sherri. Is your baby boy (Bentley right?) sleeping longer yet?

Janice - posted on 04/21/2012

1,890

18

63

Sherri, you need to read my post again. We are in complete disagreement. Baby boy really isnt letting you get any sleep huh? ;)

Janice - posted on 04/21/2012

1,890

18

63

That is so interesting JL. I have not heard of that yet.

While I dont think Obama has been a fantastic president, I could never get behind any of the current republican nominees. It really pisses me off when I hear people say that Obama is a terrible president. He did not create any of the financial issues that have occurred. He inherited a ton of issues from the last presidency but people have seemed to forget that.



Bush did nothing good for our country, was an all around ass-hat and dumb as a rock. Yet somehow was voted in a second time. Obama has been the opposite of that IMO, yet people constantly blaim him for everything. I just dont get it.

Mrs. - posted on 04/20/2012

1,767

6

30

I also think it is a generational thing. So many of the Gen Y'ers are generally disinterested in everything. It takes a lot to get them motivated to be involved. The last campaign was all about the rush of something new, of doing something just to see what would happen and that was enough to get them out of bed and vote. Plus, there was a lot of "everyone" is doing it and I want to say I was a part of that (or it would be embarrassing).

I think most of them would prefer Obama, if polled, but getting them out of the house to do it....they can be a bit entitled and just expect it to happen without any effort on their part..and then complain afterward.

This is not all Gen Yers, as I know many of you are of that generation (and technically I am too, depending on where take your gen information from). I just notice that my brother and his friends (they are all like 14 years younger than me), there is a general malaise and sense of entitlement that keeps them from being motivated about things outside like, WoW, Iron and Wine downloads and spending their parent's money on weed. This is not all of you....I've just noticed it is in the people I know in the age group mentioned in the OP.

Katherine - posted on 04/20/2012

65,420

232

5195

I totally agree. But do you think he is going to lose votes because of this?

[deleted account]

A lot of young people are on the internet nonstop and it's so full of lies about the man. Unemployment was coming this way for years. He just got the unfortunate years when it hit the fan.

Join Circle of Moms

Sign up for Circle of Moms and be a part of this community! Membership is just one click away.

Join Circle of Moms